{"id":8912,"date":"2024-11-12T20:31:52","date_gmt":"2024-11-12T20:31:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/latamreports.com\/br\/?p=8912"},"modified":"2024-11-12T20:31:54","modified_gmt":"2024-11-12T20:31:54","slug":"copom-alerta-sobre-riscos-fiscais-e-impacto-da-eleicao-de-trump-na-politica-de-juros","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/latamreports.com\/br\/copom-alerta-sobre-riscos-fiscais-e-impacto-da-eleicao-de-trump-na-politica-de-juros\/","title":{"rendered":"Copom alerta sobre riscos fiscais e impacto da elei\u00e7\u00e3o de Trump na pol\u00edtica de juros"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

O Comit\u00ea de Pol\u00edtica Monet\u00e1ria (Copom<\/a>) do Banco Central (BC) divulgou nesta ter\u00e7a-feira (12) a ata de sua \u00faltima reuni\u00e3o, destacando as preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com o cen\u00e1rio fiscal brasileiro e o impacto das recentes elei\u00e7\u00f5es nos Estados Unidos, que elegeram Donald Trump. O comit\u00ea ressaltou que a eleva\u00e7\u00e3o dos gastos p\u00fablicos e a incerteza quanto \u00e0 pol\u00edtica econ\u00f4mica dos EUA podem prolongar o ciclo de alta de juros no Brasil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Segundo o documento, a percep\u00e7\u00e3o do mercado financeiro em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao aumento dos gastos e \u00e0 sustentabilidade do arcabou\u00e7o fiscal tem influenciado negativamente as expectativas econ\u00f4micas e o c\u00e2mbio. O Copom defendeu que uma pol\u00edtica fiscal baseada em regras previs\u00edveis e transparente \u00e9 essencial para ancorar as expectativas inflacion\u00e1rias e reduzir o risco sobre os ativos financeiros. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

“Uma pol\u00edtica fiscal cr\u00edvel […] refor\u00e7a o compromisso com o arcabou\u00e7o fiscal nos pr\u00f3ximos anos,” apontou o colegiado.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

A recente vit\u00f3ria de Trump e a possibilidade de mudan\u00e7as econ\u00f4micas nos EUA, como a introdu\u00e7\u00e3o de novas tarifas de importa\u00e7\u00e3o e est\u00edmulos fiscais, aumentam a incerteza global, segundo o Copom. Embora a expectativa seja de desacelera\u00e7\u00e3o gradual da economia americana, o cen\u00e1rio internacional foi descrito como \u201cdesafiador\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Na \u00faltima decis\u00e3o de pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria, o Copom <\/a>intensificou o ritmo de alta da Selic, elevando a taxa em 0,5 ponto percentual, para 11,25% ao ano. Segundo o comit\u00ea, o objetivo \u00e9 conter o avan\u00e7o da infla\u00e7\u00e3o, que agora tem previs\u00e3o de 4,6% para 2024 \u2014 acima do teto da meta de 4,5%. Para 2025, a proje\u00e7\u00e3o foi ajustada para 3,9%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Perspectivas de infla\u00e7\u00e3o e pr\u00f3ximos passos<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Al\u00e9m das press\u00f5es externas, o Copom destacou os desafios internos, incluindo o aumento dos pre\u00e7os dos alimentos, a infla\u00e7\u00e3o de servi\u00e7os e a desvaloriza\u00e7\u00e3o do real. O dinamismo do mercado de trabalho tamb\u00e9m foi citado como fator de press\u00e3o inflacion\u00e1ria. Diante desse cen\u00e1rio, o comit\u00ea indicou a possibilidade de continuidade no aumento gradual dos juros, deixando em aberto seus pr\u00f3ximos passos, com a pr\u00f3xima reuni\u00e3o marcada para 10 e 11 de dezembro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analistas do mercado interpretaram que o BC est\u00e1 inclinado a prolongar o ciclo de alta de juros, preferindo um ajuste cont\u00ednuo de 0,5 ponto percentual, em vez de uma eleva\u00e7\u00e3o mais agressiva no curto prazo. Para o Goldman Sachs, o tom da ata foi mais r\u00edgido que o comunicado inicial, ressaltando as preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es fiscais.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

O Comit\u00ea de Pol\u00edtica Monet\u00e1ria (Copom) do Banco Central (BC) divulgou nesta ter\u00e7a-feira (12) a ata de sua \u00faltima reuni\u00e3o, destacando as preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com o … Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":8913,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[2],"tags":[31],"class_list":["post-8912","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-negocios","tag-brasil","resize-featured-image"],"yoast_head":"\nCopom alerta sobre riscos fiscais e impacto da elei\u00e7\u00e3o de Trump<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"O Comit\u00ea de 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