{"id":14698,"date":"2026-01-30T13:07:31","date_gmt":"2026-01-30T13:07:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/latamreports.com\/br\/?p=14698"},"modified":"2026-01-30T13:07:32","modified_gmt":"2026-01-30T13:07:32","slug":"cafe-lidera-alta-da-cesta-basica-em-2025-e-preco-deve-continuar-elevado-em-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/latamreports.com\/br\/cafe-lidera-alta-da-cesta-basica-em-2025-e-preco-deve-continuar-elevado-em-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Caf\u00e9 lidera alta da cesta b\u00e1sica em 2025 e pre\u00e7o deve continuar elevado em 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

O caf\u00e9 <\/a>foi o produto que mais pesou no bolso do consumidor brasileiro em 2025. Dados divulgados pela Associa\u00e7\u00e3o Brasileira da Ind\u00fastria de Caf\u00e9 (Abic) mostram que a bebida registrou a maior alta entre os itens da cesta b\u00e1sica no ano passado, consolidando um movimento de encarecimento que j\u00e1 vinha se desenhando desde o in\u00edcio da d\u00e9cada.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Entre 2021 e 2025, o pre\u00e7o do caf\u00e9 ao consumidor subiu 116%. Mesmo com essa escalada, a ind\u00fastria afirma que os valores praticados nas g\u00f4ndolas ainda n\u00e3o refletem integralmente o aumento dos custos enfrentados ao longo do per\u00edodo. Apenas o caf\u00e9 ar\u00e1bica, variedade mais consumida no pa\u00eds, teve alta de 212% no pre\u00e7o pago aos produtores.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Apesar da expectativa de uma safra mais favor\u00e1vel, o cen\u00e1rio para 2026 n\u00e3o indica al\u00edvio significativo nos pre\u00e7os. Segundo a Abic, os estoques globais seguem em n\u00edveis baixos ap\u00f3s sucessivos problemas clim\u00e1ticos que afetaram grandes produtores, como secas, geadas e temperaturas acima da m\u00e9dia. Assim, boa parte da produ\u00e7\u00e3o deste ano deve ser direcionada \u00e0 recomposi\u00e7\u00e3o dessas reservas, e n\u00e3o ao aumento da oferta no mercado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Esse contexto ajuda a explicar por que o faturamento da ind\u00fastria de caf\u00e9 torrado cresceu 25,6% em 2025, alcan\u00e7ando R$ 46,24 bilh\u00f5es, mesmo com uma retra\u00e7\u00e3o de 2,31% no consumo interno. Ainda assim, a entidade avalia que o h\u00e1bito do cafezinho segue resiliente no Brasil, com quedas pontuais sendo rapidamente compensadas quando h\u00e1 qualquer redu\u00e7\u00e3o de pre\u00e7o nas prateleiras.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Por que o caf\u00e9 segue caro mesmo com expectativa de boa safra<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Entre os fatores que sustentam os pre\u00e7os elevados est\u00e3o a combina\u00e7\u00e3o de estoques globais reduzidos, custos de produ\u00e7\u00e3o acumulados e instabilidades no mercado internacional. Um dos epis\u00f3dios mais relevantes foi a imposi\u00e7\u00e3o de tarifas de 50% pelos Estados Unidos sobre o caf\u00e9 brasileiro, o que pressionou as cota\u00e7\u00f5es na bolsa de Nova York, refer\u00eancia mundial para o gr\u00e3o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Al\u00e9m disso, mesmo com sinais positivos para a safra de 2026, impulsionados por condi\u00e7\u00f5es clim\u00e1ticas mais favor\u00e1veis ap\u00f3s um La Ni\u00f1a menos severo, especialistas apontam que seriam necess\u00e1rias pelo menos duas boas colheitas consecutivas para que os pre\u00e7os recuassem de forma consistente. At\u00e9 l\u00e1, a tend\u00eancia \u00e9 de estabilidade em patamares elevados, com oscila\u00e7\u00f5es pontuais e eventuais promo\u00e7\u00f5es no varejo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Em dezembro, por exemplo, o caf\u00e9 tradicional extraforte apresentou queda de 7,1% em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao m\u00eas anterior, enquanto as c\u00e1psulas ficaram 13,2% mais baratas. Ainda assim, a ind\u00fastria refor\u00e7a que essas redu\u00e7\u00f5es s\u00e3o pontuais e n\u00e3o indicam uma revers\u00e3o estrutural dos pre\u00e7os.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Para o setor, o foco em 2026 ser\u00e1 equilibrar oferta, recompor estoques e buscar previsibilidade, em um mercado que segue sens\u00edvel tanto ao clima quanto \u00e0s decis\u00f5es internacionais.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

O caf\u00e9 foi o produto que mais pesou no bolso do consumidor brasileiro em 2025. Dados divulgados pela Associa\u00e7\u00e3o Brasileira da Ind\u00fastria de Caf\u00e9 (Abic) … Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":14699,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[2,13],"tags":[31],"class_list":["post-14698","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-negocios","category-politica","tag-brasil","resize-featured-image"],"yoast_head":"\nCaf\u00e9 lidera alta da cesta b\u00e1sica em 2025 e pre\u00e7o deve continuar<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"O caf\u00e9 foi o produto que mais pesou no bolso do consumidor brasileiro em 2025. 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