{"id":14555,"date":"2026-01-14T19:05:41","date_gmt":"2026-01-14T19:05:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/latamreports.com\/br\/?p=14555"},"modified":"2026-01-14T19:05:44","modified_gmt":"2026-01-14T19:05:44","slug":"quaest-mostra-lula-a-frente-em-todos-os-cenarios-de-2o-turno-disputa-mais-apertada-e-contra-tarcisio","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/latamreports.com\/br\/quaest-mostra-lula-a-frente-em-todos-os-cenarios-de-2o-turno-disputa-mais-apertada-e-contra-tarcisio\/","title":{"rendered":"Quaest mostra Lula \u00e0 frente em todos os cen\u00e1rios de 2\u00ba turno; disputa mais apertada \u00e9 contra Tarc\u00edsio"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

A primeira pesquisa de 2026 do instituto Quaest <\/a>indica que o presidente Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva lidera todos os cen\u00e1rios de segundo turno testados at\u00e9 agora. Ainda assim, os n\u00fameros mostram varia\u00e7\u00f5es importantes entre os advers\u00e1rios simulados, com diferen\u00e7as que v\u00e3o de cinco a 20 pontos percentuais.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O cen\u00e1rio mais competitivo <\/a>envolve o governador de S\u00e3o Paulo, Tarc\u00edsio de Freitas. Nesse confronto, Lula aparece com 44% das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto, enquanto Tarc\u00edsio soma 39%. A dist\u00e2ncia entre os dois caiu pela metade em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 rodada anterior, divulgada em dezembro, quando o presidente tinha vantagem de dez pontos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embora Lula tenha oscilado negativamente dentro da margem de erro, passando de 45% para 44%, o crescimento do governador paulista chama aten\u00e7\u00e3o. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tarc\u00edsio avan\u00e7ou de 35% para 39%, sinalizando maior consolida\u00e7\u00e3o entre eleitores de oposi\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/h6>\n\n\n\n

Em outros cen\u00e1rios, a lideran\u00e7a do presidente permanece mais confort\u00e1vel. Contra Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro, a vantagem \u00e9 de sete pontos. Lula registra 45%, enquanto o senador chega a 38%. Em compara\u00e7\u00e3o com dezembro, o presidente recuou um ponto, e Fl\u00e1vio avan\u00e7ou dois.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O mesmo patamar de diferen\u00e7a aparece no embate com Ratinho J\u00fanior. Nesse caso, Lula tem 43% das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto, contra 36% do governador paranaense. J\u00e1 frente a nomes como Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Aldo Rebelo e Renan Santos, a dist\u00e2ncia \u00e9 maior, ultrapassando os dez pontos percentuais.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Apesar disso, os \u00edndices de votos brancos, nulos e indecisos seguem elevados em todos os cen\u00e1rios, variando entre 13% e 24%. Esse dado refor\u00e7a que o quadro eleitoral ainda est\u00e1 longe de consolidado, sobretudo porque as candidaturas oficiais s\u00f3 ser\u00e3o definidas entre julho e agosto, durante as conven\u00e7\u00f5es partid\u00e1rias.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A pesquisa foi encomendada pela Genial Investimentos e ouviu 2.004 pessoas com 16 anos ou mais, entre os dias 8 e 11 de janeiro. A margem de erro \u00e9 de dois pontos percentuais, para mais ou para menos, com n\u00edvel de confian\u00e7a de 95%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A primeira pesquisa de 2026 do instituto Quaest indica que o presidente Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva lidera todos os cen\u00e1rios de segundo turno testados … Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":14556,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[13],"tags":[31],"class_list":["post-14555","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politica","tag-brasil","resize-featured-image"],"yoast_head":"\nQuaest mostra Lula \u00e0 frente em todos os cen\u00e1rios de 2\u00ba turno<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A primeira pesquisa de 2026 do instituto Quaest indica que o presidente Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva lidera todos os cen\u00e1rios de segundo\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/latamreports.com\/br\/quaest-mostra-lula-a-frente-em-todos-os-cenarios-de-2o-turno-disputa-mais-apertada-e-contra-tarcisio\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Quaest mostra Lula \u00e0 frente em todos os cen\u00e1rios de 2\u00ba turno\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A primeira pesquisa de 2026 do instituto Quaest indica que o presidente Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva lidera todos os cen\u00e1rios de segundo\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/latamreports.com\/br\/quaest-mostra-lula-a-frente-em-todos-os-cenarios-de-2o-turno-disputa-mais-apertada-e-contra-tarcisio\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"LatAm Reports\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/latamreports\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-01-14T19:05:41+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-01-14T19:05:44+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/latamreports.com\/br\/wp-content\/uploads\/qaest-lula-tarcisio.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"630\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"LatAm Reports Redatores da Equipe\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@latamreports\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@latamreports\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"LatAm Reports Redatores da Equipe\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/latamreports.com\\\/br\\\/quaest-mostra-lula-a-frente-em-todos-os-cenarios-de-2o-turno-disputa-mais-apertada-e-contra-tarcisio\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/latamreports.com\\\/br\\\/quaest-mostra-lula-a-frente-em-todos-os-cenarios-de-2o-turno-disputa-mais-apertada-e-contra-tarcisio\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"LatAm Reports Redatores da Equipe\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/latamreports.com\\\/br\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/a561f2de7e5ccabfab38d239b39fdb70\"},\"headline\":\"Quaest mostra Lula \u00e0 frente em todos os cen\u00e1rios de 2\u00ba turno; 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